Posted by
Jason Smith on Saturday, July 29, 2006 11:48:31 AM
Iran has been the most important nation in the Middle East since the Ottoman Empire was defeated after World War I. Historically, the Persian Empire controlled the entire Middle East, and they are still very powerful, both in morale and in power. They are the stronghold for Shia Islam, and the main supporters of Hezb Allah in southern Lebanon. They have some of the largest extractable reserves of oil in the world.
Prior to 1979, the United States strongly supported the pro-western secular government of the Shah in Iran to ensure a pro-western element in the Middle East, and of course, for oil reserves. This was especially important during the Cold War and the Soviet Union. Unfortunately, the Islamic revolution in 1979 completely changed Iran into an anti-western nation. Since then, our policies have been to restrain Iran. We supported Iraq in the futile war against Iran, even when Saddam was using chemical weapons against Iran (and was testing them on the Kurds.) We also supported Afghani rebels in a complex maneuver to limit both the Soviet Union and Iran. Iran was successfully contained by both Iraq and Afghanistan, Iran's two main enemies.
Then Al-Qaida attacked the United States in 2001. With a president guided by a moral compass, the United States could no longer overlook the many problems within both Afghanistan and within Iraq, both in human rights issues and especially with Afghanistan protection of Al-Qaida and with Iraq's capabilities with weapons of mass destruction and with their violations of the United Nations. We overthrew the evil regimes in Afghanistan and Iraq, but this has had an unintended repercussion. The two main enemies and barriers to Iran's expansion and domination were eliminated by us. Since this point, Iran has been capitalizing on these losses.
In June 2005, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, the most conservative candidate for the presidency, was elected by the Iranian people. He actively denies the Holocaust, has called for Israel's destruction, has been openly supporting Iran's previously covert nuclear program, and has issued an "invitation" for President Bush to become a Muslim or "lose out." These are the same invitations that the so-called prophet Mohammed sent before subjugating nations under the nation of Islam. Al-Qaida also issues these invitations before they attack. The Quran and Muslim doctrine teach that an invitation to Islam must be offered before waging Jihad, that is, war in the name of Allah to bring people under the peace/submission of Allah and Islam. That President Ahmadinejad issued this invitation should have been a frightening prospect, but many people considered it foolish ranting from a foolish man. I highly recommend for people to read the full invitation. It is not foolish and it is not a joke.
In addition, President Ahmadinejad believes that the hidden twelfth imam will be returning very soon, perhaps within the next year or so. The twelfth imam is the Shia version of the Messiah. Approximately a thousand years ago he went into a well in Iraq, and will return to bring all people to Islam. Before becoming president, Ahmadinejad was mayor of Tehran. He started and completed an expensive project to improve Tehran to welcome the twelfth imam's return. President Ahmadinejad recently gave a speech to the United Nations about how the twelfth imam will quickly return.
Most importantly, some Shia Muslims believe that the hidden imam's return will be ushered in by war and chaos. Though it is unclear whether Ahmadinejad believes this, it would provide a strong impetus for Iran to use nuclear weapons and to start a war, even if Iran's destruction was assured. Iran would become a martyr if they were destroyed after destroying Israel or any of the other infidels in the world.
It is important to note that the Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is publicly in agreement with Ahmadinejad on most of these points, and he does not publicly disagree with him on any of these.
Now onto the current conflict in the Middle East. Iran has been attempting a nuclear program, and many consider the ultimate goal to be nuclear weapons (though Iran denies this). They have been keeping UN observers from examining their nuclear program. They have all but rejected an extremely generous offer from the UN to stop fertilizing uranium. It is hard to reject this offer without looking like a nation desiring nuclear weapons. My question to all of you is this: how many of you have heard that Iran essentially rejected the proposal twice in the last two weeks? If you have heard about it, was it big news in mass media? I think both of these, especially the second, are unlikely.
Hezb Allah is a Shia terrorist group funded by Iran and Syria. My argument is that Iran ordered Hezb Allah to attack and capture the Israeli soldiers two weeks ago as a diversion tactic. It is unclear whether the Hamas capturing was also caused by Iran or if Iran was just using it to their advantage. Either way, Iran has successful diverted international pressure away from their nuclear program towards the conflict in Lebanon, with Lebanon being the sacrificial lamb. Perhaps the conflict will continue until Iran builds a nuclear weapon(s) and destroys Israel. Iran apparently sent in around 250 soldiers to assist Hezb Allah last Thursday. Iran could benefit greatly from all of these things.
If the United Nations and the United States do not act soon, several terrible things could happen. Iran could acquire nuclear weapons and then destroy Israel and attack US bases and other enemy bases. In the name of defending the "helpless" Shia Muslims of Iraq, Iran could annex either the Shia section or the whole country of Iraq. They could take over Afghanistan if they wished. From Iraq, they could then take over the entire "Persian" Gulf, being stopped only by Egypt and Turkey. These possibilities are not as unlikely as they sound. Hopefully the United States and the United Nations will understand this threat for what it is and will act quickly as with strength. We have no choice.